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Pesky Human Optimism

Today I’m going to be talking about Agile Story Estimates. Please don’t go.

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However, this post assumes you know a little about how agile software development is done, with user stories and story estimates. As long as you know the definition of those words, you’ll be good.

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So here’s the brief thought. In Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking Fast and Slow, he describes two characters that play a role in everyone’s mind, System One and System Two. He spends many chapters distinguishing their roles, strengths, and failures. System One is the super active under-conscious that inhales tons of data and organises it based on highly optimized heuristic methods. You don’t even notice it working. It makes judgements and assumptions so quickly you don’t feel it, and it’s easy to ignore its influence on your analysis of the world.

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